Behavioral Problems and Outcomes of Federal Offenders Under Community Supervision, 1995-2000

William P. Adams, The Urban Institute

This presentation will examine the relationship between behavioral problems of Federal offenders under community supervision and outcomes of supervision (i.e., successful and unsuccessful terminations of supervision, including technical violations and the commission of a new crime). These behavioral problems, which are identified by the pretrial services officer, presentence investigator, judge, or probation officer at the outset of supervision, include: drug abuse,alcohol abuse, history of dangerous or violent behavior, educational and training needs, physical problems, and psychiatric problems. To test this relationship, a set of logistic regression models will be constructed which predict technical violations and/or the commission of a new crime while under Federal community supervision. The model will control for legal factors (criminal history and offense severity level), extra-legal factors (race, ethnicity, gender, and age), as well as employment status and the receipt of special conditions of supervision. Separate models will be constructed for each type of Federal community supervision: Probation, Parole, and Supervised Release. The data that will be used to conduct the analyses are the Federal Probation Supervision Information (FPSIS) standard analysis files for Fiscal Years 1995 through 2000, obtained from BJS's Federal Justice Statistics Resource Center.

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Updated 05/20/2006