| Deterrence theory has been tested in a myriad of different ways. Early, methodologically weak investigations offered evidence of a marginal deterrent effect, particularly with regard to certainly of punishment. Subsequent empirical inquiry challenged these premature assumptions, suggesting deterrence plays virtually no role in determining onset or desistance of deviant activity. An important issue when attempting to uncover a deterrent effect is the extent to which perceptions of certainty or severity of punishment remain stable over time. The present study revisits this question within the context of the contemporary juvenile justice system in an effort to assess potential differences that may more readily foster a deterrent effect. Specifically, it is hypothesized that deterrence theory may have more merit today than when it was originally studied 30 years ago. I use panel data to determine perceptual stability among early, youthful offenders. |
Updated 05/20/2006